Sports Chix - Umpire Patterns and How to Profit From Them

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Umpire Patterns and How to Profit From Them

The purpose for keeping track of data on Umpires is to learn of any biases that may be inherent in the way an individual umpire calls balls and strikes or shows sentiment for or against the home team. Psychological and other intangible factors might be used to explain why such behavior occurs. But we believe to just look at the results and use them in determining whether any biases are evident, subconcious or otherwise.

As handicappers we must be aware of the factors likely to have the greatest influences on the outcome of a game. Obviously the home umpire is the individual who exerts the greatest influence in a game since he makes a determination on any pitch that is not hit as to whether it is a ball or a strike.

At Logical Approach we use Umpire data as a secondary factor in our handicapping. By that we mean that we do not use the data to put us on to a play. Rather, we use the data to supplement, reinforce or contradict a play otherwise selected.

As an example, if there is a game we are considering as an OVER play like bonus bingo, and the home plate umpire has shown a very strong tendency to be involved in OVER games, our OVER play is strengthened. Conversely, if the home plate umpire has shown a strong tendency to be involved in UNDER games, we might back off our OVER play if it was only a marginal or luke warm play using other factors. If it were a strong OVER play, we might still play the game OVER despite the umpire's strong UNDER tendency, but might cut back on the size of the play.

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Disclaimer: The information within this site is being presented solely for entertainment purposes. Access to information contained in this site is void where prohibited. Any use of this information in violation of any federal, state or local law is prohibited. This site does not promote illegal, underage or gambling to those who live in a jurisdiction where gambling is considered unlawful.